Compared to the 12 months to 31 March 2020, Gains to Trained Strength for the, In comparison to the 12 months ending 31 March 2020, Trained outflow from the. The military estimates that among those who are eligible, a mere 9% have a "propensity" to serve, the lowest since 2007, during the height of the Iraq War. Telephone: 01494 496822, Email: Analysis-Tri-Service@mod.gov.uk Figure 3: Intake to and Outflow from the UK Regular Forces over rolling 12-month periods. This Annual Report illustrates the depth, breadth, and responsiveness of the studies that RAND Arroyo Center conducted for the Army in 2021. Corrections to the published statistics will be made if errors are found, or if figures change as a result of improvements to methodology or changes to definitions. The Full-time Trained Strength (FTTS) Royal Navy/Royal Marines and Royal Air Force (RN/RM & RAF) and Full-time Trade Trained Strength (FTTTS) (Army) (which comprises military personnel who have completed both Phase 1 and Phase 2 training) is counted against the Workforce Requirement. Applications to the RAF Regular Forces in the 12 months to 31 December 2020 were 39,353, an increase of 23.0% compared to the 12 months to 31 December 2019 (31,992). This is one indicator of the Services ability to execute military tasks. For more information, see: The military, which has strict age limits, is younger than the civilian population, but the numbers differ significantly by service. Therefore the figures presented here are not comparable with the figures up until 12 months ending 30 September 2017 presented in previous SPS publications. Email: Analysis-Tri-Service@mod.gov.uk All corrected figures will be identified by the symbol r, and an explanation will be given of the reason for and size of the revision. The United Kingdom Statistics Authority has designated these statistics as National Statistics, in accordance with the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 and signifying compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. There has been a revision to the number of Army UK Regular Forces Gains to the Officers Trained strength from Other Ranks as at 1 October 2021 due to a processing error in table 5b. Applications to the RAF Regular Forces in the 12 months to 30 September 2021 were 29,678, a decrease of 23.9 per cent compared to the 12 months to 30 September 2020 (39,013). Since 1 April 2020, the total strength of the UK Regular Forces, Gurkhas and Other Personnel have all increased. Figure 15: Applications to the RAF split by UK Regular Forces and Volunteer Reserves. The Maritime Reserve total intake rate was 21.0 per cent; a decrease of 1.8 percentage points since the 12 months to 1 April 2020. More on U.S. Armed Forces Lobbying. Figure 6: Maritime Reserve Trained Strength. If you have any comments or questions about this publication or about our statistics in general, you can contact us as follows: Responsible statistician: Analysis Tri-Service As can be seen from Figure 2 above, Army trained strength (FTTS) and Army trade trained strength (FTTTS) has been increasing since April 2020. The Integrated Review and Spending Review will determine if there will be any new targets for Full-time Armed Forces personnel. The Full-Time Trained Strength (RN/RM & RAF) and Full-Time Trade Trained Strength (Army) gradually increased between 1 July 2020 and 1 July 2021 but has been decreasing since, as shown below in Figure 1. This is an increase of 120 personnel (4.0 per cent) since 1 April 2019. The public fiasco with the. Telephone: 020 7807 8896, Email: defstrat-stat-civenquiries@mod.gov.uk Intake into the trained and untrained UK Regular Forces was 16,240 in the 12 months to 31 March 2021. Other contact points within the Ministry of Defence for Statistics are listed below. change of mind) during the process. These deficits will make it hard for Russia to hold regions in Ukraine that it may soon try to annex. The authors examine the nontechnical attributes needed to conduct challenging missions and the process for selecting candidates who can succeed. Army personnel who have completed Phase 2 training are now called Trade Trained. Figure 5: GTS and Outflow from the UK Trained Regular Forces 12 month ending across the Armed Forces. They do not include promotion from Ranks to Officers or flows between Services. This change enabled the Army to meet the SDSR 15 commitment to improve support to UK resilience. Wed like to set additional cookies to understand how you use GOV.UK, remember your settings and improve government services. The changes outlined in the consultation and response have been incorporated into this publication from the 1 October 2016 edition onwards. A breach of individual harmony guidelines occurs when Service personnel experience separated service for longer than the period outlined in individual harmony guidelines, which are based on the structures and organisation of that Service. Other includes outflow from the trained (RN/RM & RAF) and trade trained (Army) strength due to, amongst others, medical reasons, misconduct, compassionate, dismissals and death. Three commonly used recruitment ratios include: Selection ratio. The Commonwealth entry numbers are closely controlled. U.S. military size for 2017 was 1,359,000.00, a 0.79% increase from 2016. This, in turn, could significantly alter the religious needs of the Army population. The Army conducted a pilot test of a program in which recruiters were authorized to recruit individuals into any of its three components. This is mainly driven by a gradual decline in outflow which has decreased by 20.4 per cent since 31 March 2020. Changes in the religious composition of the United States could affect the religious composition of recruits into the U.S. Army. to satisfy the requirements of job seeking). Defence Statistics welcome feedback on our statistical products. How can the UK and U.S. armed forces remove barriers to inclusion and attract more diverse workforces? Where we have identified any third party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. Applications will not result in intake if, for example, they are withdrawn by the applicant during the recruitment process, rejected by the Services, or if an offer to join the Services is declined by the applicant. The Q&A with two Marines who work at RAND sheds light on how their military service informs their research and analysis. Analysis Tri-Service welcome feedback on our statistical products. In addition, this will be reported in future publications. We use some essential cookies to make this website work. The total Trained and Untrained Strength of the Tri-Service Future Reserves 2020 at 1 April 2021 was 37,410, an increase of 400 personnel or 1.1 per cent since 1 April 2020. The trained and trade trained strength is higher than at 1 April 2020 by 4.0 per cent and 4.5 per cent respectively. This has affected tables 1 and 6a. They are broken down by Service, and by Officers and Other Ranks. The Ministry of Defence (MOD) announced on 29 June 2016 that it was changing the Army trained, disciplined service personnel by changing the definition of Trained Strength to include those in the Army who have completed Phase 1 training. In the 12 months to 31 December 2021, Intake to the. Corrections to the published statistics will be made if errors are found, or if figures change as a result of improvements to methodology or changes to definitions. These include quarterly statistics on the number of Service and Civilian Personnel, Separated Service (the proportion of personnel breaching harmony guidelines), Applications to each of the Services and Military Salaries. The Maritime Reserve total Intake rate was 16.5 per cent; a decrease of 3.8 percentage points since the 12 months to 1 January 2021. A breach of individual harmony guidelines occurs when Service personnel experience separated service for longer than the period outlined in individual harmony guidelines, which are based on the structures and organisation of that Service. News stories, speeches, letters and notices, Reports, analysis and official statistics, Data, Freedom of Information releases and corporate reports. This Perspective presents conceptual design considerations for implementing a feeder system as an enhanced marketing and outreach program to assist the U.S. Air Force with increasing racial and ethnic diversity in officer accessions. They are just as likely as others to complete their first term and make sergeant, and are less likely to leave the Army for health or performance reasons. Email: DefStrat-Econ-ESES-PQFOI@mod.gov.uk In Table 1 and 2a there has been a revision to the number of Navy Serving Regular Reserve ADC personnel as at 1 October 2013 due to an inputting error. /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/reports, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/blogPosts, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/multimedia, /content/admin/rand-header/jcr:content/par/header/caseStudies, How China Understands and Assesses Military Balance, Russian Military Operations in Ukraine in 2022 and the Year Ahead, Consequences of the War in Ukraine: A Bleak Outlook for Russia, RAND President and CEO Presenting to House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, RAND Experts Discuss the First Year of the Russia-Ukraine War, Helping Coastal Communities Plan for Climate Change, Measuring Wellbeing to Help Communities Thrive, Assessing and Articulating the Wider Benefits of Research, How the Pandemic Affected Military Recruitment and Retention, Army Enlistment Waivers in the Age of Legal Marijuana, Quantifying Potential Cost Avoidance Implications of Outcomes Reported in Behavioral and Social Science Research, Assessment and Selection for U.S. Air Force Special Warfare: Vol. Voluntary Outflow (VO) encompasses all Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade Trained (Army) personnel who voluntarily exit before the end of their agreed engagement or commission period. The changes outlined in the consultation and response have been incorporated into this publication from the 1 October 2016 edition onwards. The current strength of the UK Service Personnel is 197,140 which includes: The total strength of the UK Forces has increased between 1 January 2021 and 1 January 2022 by 0.5 per cent (1,000 personnel), as shown in Table 1. no offer to join the Services given) include: The main causes of application failure (i.e. The regular Army and Army Guard project small increases through FY 2025; the Army Reserve will stay essentially level. This is an increase of 200 personnel (5.2 per cent) since 1 April 2020. This has affected tables 1, 2b, 8a and 8c. Across all Services, VO was the most common reason for outflow of Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade-Trained (Army) personnel, accounting for 60.9 per cent of outflow in the 12 months to 31 March 2020 (See Figure 4). From the 1 October 2016 edition onwards, Army personnel who have completed Phase 1 training (basic Service training) but not Phase 2 training (trade training), are considered trained personnel. You have accepted additional cookies. Apart from the Applications section, all figures in this publication have been rounded to the nearest 10, though numbers ending in a 5 have been rounded to the nearest multiple of 20 to prevent the systematic bias caused by always rounding numbers upwards. In Tables 1, 2b and 8c there have been revisions to the number of Regular Reserves personnel due to a formula error in the Army Regular Reserves Officers as at 1 October 2017. Personnel completing Phase 2 training in the 12 months to 31 March 2021 was 11,640. From 2001 to 2011, he directed the Manpower and Training Program in the RAND Army Research Division and was associate director from 1991 to 2000. They do not include promotion from Ranks to Officers or flows between Services. We also use cookies set by other sites to help us deliver content from their services. There is a break in the time series between 1 October 2017 and 1 July 2018 due to the change in recruiting systems from the Training Administration and Financial Management Information System (TAFMIS) to DRS and due to the need to ensure consistency of the start date for reintroduced data between the single Services. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. On 29 June 2016, the MOD announced that the Army planned to use Regular and Reserve Phase 1 trained personnel in response to crises within the UK. The increase in RAF applications since the introduction of DRS is due to the previous recruitment system having a separate frontend, this was used to assist the initial application processing team in filtering out RAF ineligible applications and non-productive enquiries prior to an official application being recorded. This publication contains information on the strength, intake, outflow and gains to trained strength for the UK Armed Forces overall and each of the Services; Royal Navy/Royal Marines (RN/RM), Army and Royal Air Force (RAF). To fill the gap, the Army is offering. Figure 6 shows that the Maritime Reserve Trained Strength was 2,860 as at 1 January 2022. The Army Reserve total strength as at 1 January 2022 was 29,430. Not achieving the required recruiting test score for the desired branch/trade; Applicants withdraw for their own reasons (e.g. Around 9.6% of personnel (14,110) self-identified as belonging to a minority ethnic group (compared to an estimated 14.3% of the total UK population). The main causes of applicant failure (i.e. Attracting qualified recruits and the costs associated with essential skills training make military recruitment an ongoing challenge; low recruitment affects, among other things, enlistee counts, unit readiness, and morale. This is an increase of 100 personnel (0.3 per cent) 1 April 2020. Military Statistics By Gender 27.4% of militaries are women and 72.6% of militaries are men. Telephone: 01264 886021, Email: Analysis-Air@mod.uk On 23 November 2015, MOD published the National Security Strategy and Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015. The MOD has consulted on these changes and the resultant impact they will have on this publication and a consultation response was published on 7 October 2016. KEY TAKEAWAYS The Army has had difficulty in growing the force even modestly because of recruiting challenges. Following consultation on changes to the Army Trained Strength definition and the removal of the FR20 intake targets, the MOD released Future Reserves 2020 Trained Strength growth profiles in a Written Ministerial Statement on 8 November 2016. Terminology has also been updated in Excel tables 3c and 4. In 2022, there were over 148 thousand personnel serving in the British Armed Forces, compared with just 144 thousand serving in 2019. The recent trends in Reserve personnel numbers in this report relate to the targets outlined in the Future Reserves 2020 (FR20) programme. Applications may be refused if no commonwealth headroom is available. Across all Services, VO was the most common reason for Outflow of Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade Trained (Army) personnel, accounting for 56.8 per cent of Outflow in the 12 months to 31 December 2021 (See Figure 4). This has increased by 0.5 per cent when compared against this periods equivalent a year ago (11,420). In the 12 months to 31 December 2021, 5,670 Trained (RN/RM & RAF) and Trade Trained (Army) personnel left through VO; the VO rate was 4.3 per cent. The guidelines are measured over a 36 month period and the limits are: Using 1 April 2021 as an example, the formula for the breach rate is as follows: The percentage breaching harmony has remained stable for the RN/RM (0.2 per cent), decreased for the Army (1.0 per cent) and increased for the RAF (0.3 per cent) as at 1 October 2021 compared to the previous quarter 1 July 2021. There has been no formal announcement of new targets beyond 31 March 2019. Interview to hire ratio. Following consultation on changes to the Army Trained Strength definition and the removal of the FR20 intake targets, the MOD released Future Reserves 2020 Trained Strength growth profiles in a Written Ministerial Statement on 8 November 2016. Separated service measures absence from normal place of duty. The number of applications received does not directly relate to intake figures, since: There is a break in the time series between 1 October 2017 and 1 July 2018 due to the change in recruiting systems from the Training Administration and Financial Management Information System (TAFMIS) to DRS and due to the need to ensure consistency of the start date for reintroduced data between the single Services. Has increased by 0.5 per cent and 4.5 per cent ) 1 April 2020 by 4.0 per cent ) April. United States could affect the religious composition of recruits into the U.S. Army Applicants withdraw for their reasons... 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