Incumbents dont win runoffs in Georgia.. Former City of Atlanta Commissioner of Watershed Management Jo Ann Macrina, appointed by Reed in 2011, was sentenced to four and a half years in federal prison this week by the U.S. Attorneys Office for the Northern District of Georgia. Macrina was found to have taken bribes totaling some $60,000 in exchange for giving out favorable contracts. Its certainly not unusual for any one poll to be slightly out of the mainstream. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to, Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters, shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A previous New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released in early-October showed Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. Four years ago just around the same time Trump was in the . A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. ", Biden Hits Trump For Omaha Rally: "He Gets His Photo-Op And He Gets Out". A, of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. Newt Gingrich voters are not more likely than Mitt Romneys to be subject to wild swings by pollsters with different methodologies. To view a full breakdown of results, visit the Insider source page. . Most reporting is original with moderately sensational headlines such as this: Trump stopped Fauci from answering a question about the anti-malaria drug Trump is hyping despite it being unproven against the coronavirus. Towerys firm has constantly help to shape the Republican primary narrative by frequently polling the early Republican primary contests. A, CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. InsiderAdvantage Chairman Matt Towery says Fettermans shrinking lead was a result of self-described independent voters breaking for Oz by twenty points. How Did The Polls Do in Iowa?, read it here: Time for a Huntsman Comeback?, read it here: I just posted Why I sure as heck am skeptical that Romney will falter in NH, read it here: Insider Advantage in Two Figures : Margin of rror, Two Polls Show Gingrich Leading in South Carolina | Hotspyer - Breaking News from around the web, POLITICAL WIRES HEADLINES - 1/20 Accomack County Democrats, New Florida Polls Show Big Swing to Gingrich | CATA NEWS, New Florida Polls Show Big Swing to Gingrich | The Presidency, FiveThirtyEight: New Florida Polls Show Big Swing to Gingrich | My Blog, What are the chances of a Bush/Gore-style tie in 2012? These results are still within the margin of error, soFloridaremains up for grabs. Here are the stats for the entire state: Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 6.2 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 12.3 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 9.1 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 26.6 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 31.7 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 31.5 points. A, Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, , showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. Can things change this dramatically in 3 weeks? Also, in InsiderAdvantages first survey in the Georgia lt. governors race: Burt Jones (R): 46%Charlie Bailey (D): 41%Ryan Graham (Libertarian): 4%Undecided: 9%, Towery:Jones looks likelyto win without a runoff as of now., Its been five years since former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed left office, but some of his hand-picked city officials are still being rung up by the feds. Herschel walker has his own poll right now showing Herschel is within three or four points. But lets remember that IAs poll a few days ago was the most pro-Newt Gingrich survey among the numerous polls produced in South Carolina. One other poll from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and two Democratic backed polls released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely votersshows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. Filtered Search, Enter your email address to subscribe to MBFC and receive notifications of new posts by email. When a pollster publishes multiple versions of the same survey (for example, versions with and without third-party candidates included), FiveThirtyEight uses an average of the different versions to calculate the pollsters rating. Design and development by Elena Meja and Aaron Bycoffe. Traffic/Popularity: High Traffic All plans give access to our growing exclusive content! Insiders bias rating has moved from Center to Lean Left. Second, recent polls are even more biased because Trump contracted COVID-19. A post-presidential InsiderAdvantage debate survey of 400 registered likely voters in Pennsylvania shows President Donald Trump now leading in this key battleground state. Its method isn't fool proof though. I just dont think Insider Advantage polls are worth the press they receive. Meanwhile, the race for Governor of Pennsylvania has tightened. In late September, Democratic nominee Josh Shapiro held a double-digit lead over Republican nominee Doug Mastriano. LAKE MARY, Fla. - President Donald Trump is leading former Vice President Joe Biden in Florida, according to a poll conducted this week by InsiderAdvantage. Insider generally reports news factually and with a left-leaning bias in story selection. In this article I am going to assume that the current polls in each state have the same bias as they had in 2016 and I will adjust the current poll results to estimate the true intentions of the voters. of likely voters in the state shows Trump leading Biden by just over 1 point, 48.7%-to-47.4%, while 1.3% said they would vote for Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgenesen, and 2.6% are undecided. Best way to prove polls wrong is to vote. The poll has a margin of error of 4.2%. "I love women and I can't help it they are the greatest I love them much more than the men," Trump said at a rally on Tuesday. Rudy Giuliani got heated with FOX Business host Kennedy after she likened him to Christopher Steele, the author of the infamous Trump dossier full of thinly-sourced material on Tuesday's edition of her show. Meanwhile, Josh Shapiro's lead in the race for governor has shrunk. In 2015, German publishing company and owner of Bild, Die Welt, and Fakt,Axel Springer, acquired Business Insider for $442 million, which brought their share to approximately 97 percent. Most reporting is original with moderately sensational headlines such as this: Trump stopped Fauci from answering a . This overall poll, surveying 500 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data between Oct. 30-31, has a margin of error of +/-4.4%. When normalized, 67% of respondents rated Insider as left of center and 11% rated Insider as right of center. These stories are well-sourced and align with science. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Accuracy scores are adjusted for the type of election polled, the polls sample size, the performance of other polls surveying the same race and other factors. The site also became a trusted polling aggregator. NPR describes the Center for American Greatness as a conservative website.. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. * Walker increased his share of the African American vote by 8 points in one week. Press J to jump to the feed. The Trump campaign mocked Joe Biden Tuesday with this new ad portraying him as an old fool. If Walker were to keep rising at his current pace it is conceivable he could win outright given the lift Kemp is giving Republicans, (Kemp leads Abrams 50% to 43%). On a scale of -9 to +9 with 0 representing Center, respondents on average rated Insider as -2.62, putting it solidly in the Lean Left media bias category. . "Mastriano has gained among independent voters who are breaking his way by nearly 18 points.". Bias Rating: LEFT-CENTER All other polls with end dates between December 12th and 19th staked Romney to a double-digit lead, but not IA. RealClearPolitics (RCP) was founded in 2003 as a clearing house for the best news and commentary from across the political spectrum. InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 poll: Oz rallies ahead of Fetterman as Shapiro maintains lead over Mastriano By FOX 29 Staff Published November 4, 2022 Updated 12:42PM 2022 Midterm Elections FOX 29. Taegan [], [] Caveat:Harry Entenmakes a persuasive case that InsiderAdvantage has a pro-Gingrich bias to its results. . It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9%. Insider Advantage [], [] Harry Enten makes a persuasive case that InsiderAdvantage has a pro-Gingrich bias to its results. Seal pup rescued trying to cross highway in Ocean County, Bald eagle dies after ingesting poison, prompting calls for change from advocates, Crazy photos at Yosemite National Park show snow up to rooftops, blocking doorway, 2 suspects sought for weekend armed robbery of 7-Eleven in Wilmington, Hatboro police investigating viral video of customer's racist rant against local business owner, Judge raises bail on 2 Philadelphia teens charged in traffic cone beating death of elderly man, DA: Fentanyl, heroin found in 'significant number' of THC products seized from Pennsylvania smoke shops, Pennsylvania Chick-fil-A bans kids under 16 from dining in restaurant without parent. Mehmet Oz (Left) is slightly trailing John Fetterman (Right) in Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate race, according to the latest InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 Philadelphia poll. Read our profile on the United States government and media. foodpanda $3,200. Towery said the data also suggests Trump has the advantage in those age 45 and up with nearly 63% of the . Maine isn't a "winner-take-all" state. Update: See Brices figures with this data here. Phillip Meylan September 22, 2022. This pollster is garbage. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by Climate Power 2020 shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, in the state. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Oct. 23 showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Florida will probably determine the outcome of this presidential election. In the June PA poll, Biden led Trump by 11 points, 53.5-to-41.8, while the president was ahead of the former VP by about 5 points in the May PA poll, 50.2-to-45.5. For me, any one piece of this evidence would not be enough to say Insider Advantage is not a great pollster, but together the mountain of evidence is too high. Support MBFC Donations The poll gave Rick Santorum his most favorable Iowa numbers to date and favorable news coverage followed. . Let's remember what was said in the media at the time: "Five days after America learned what Donald Trump likes to (non-consensually) grab women by, voters continue to withdraw their consent for his candidacy. Restoration PAC's polling from April and March showed the two . Vote Democratic up and down the ticket. The current fivethirtyeight polling average is Biden 50.1, Trump 45.0, or B+5.1. A subsequent AllSides independent review confirmed the Lean Left rating. "Oz is also picking an unusually high 14% of the African American vote and Asians and Hispanics prefer Oz say they are voting for Oz by a wide margin. As a quality control check, let's . President Donald Trump holds a slight edge over former Vice President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, according to, polling commissioned by this conservative website. 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