NFL Locks, Lines for Week 1 of the 2021 Season By Vegas Odds Sports Staff in NFL September 7, 2021 Updated September 16, 2021 Vegas Odds experts give their "locks" of the week for NFL lines on week 1 NFL returns with Super Bowl Champions Tampa Bay taking on the Dallas Cowboys Week 1 is always a chance for the underdog to spring a surprise Guys like Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, and the rest are going to bring hellfire to the Chicago offense. ET SUNDAY: Four days before this matchup kicks off the regular season, BetMGM Nevada has the Bills -2.5 in the NFL Week 1 odds market. "No movement here on the point spread," Murray said. This is going to be a very trendy pick which is concerning, but Lawrence is the real deal and Urban Meyer wants to get off on the right foot in his NFL coaching debut. BETTING: FANTASY : Live Odds. The Browns are 1-0 for the first time since 2004. After last night's short stint at 7 drew sharp play on Seahawks +7 (-120), Denver dipped to -6.5. "There's hardly any money on the Over," Shelton said, while noting a $23,000 play on Under 52 and a 4/1 ticket count on the Under. After a 12-5 SU/8-9 ATS regular season, Los Angeles went on a four-game playoff run (2-2 ATS) to claim the title. UPDATE 10 P.M. We will need the Cowboys in what should be the most-heavily-bet game of Week 1.". UPDATE 1:30 P.M. 2015-09-10. Having gained valuable experience over the final five weeks of the season, hell enter the season as the No. Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,900 since its inception, and find out. And it is all Denver on the point spread, with ticket count 9/1-plus and money 6/1. "They're playing Raiders moneyline +150, too. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chargers hit PointsBet USA's NFL Week 1 odds market as 4-point favorites, then spent most of the summer at -3.5, save for a couple short stints at -3. "There was sharp play on Chiefs -3," Shelton said. If you place $100 in NFL bets during the month, you will win a FREE NFL jersey! An avalanche of injuries, especially on the defensive side of the ball, conspired to help do in the 49ers last season in their attempted defense of the 2019 NFC title. One spread has hit as low as a pick'em, while another reached 8.5 before falling slightly. The Over is taking 51% of bets/57% of money. So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? After Denver acquired QB Russell Wilson in an offseason trade with Seattle, the league decided to send Wilson and the Broncos to the Emerald City for Monday Night Football in Week 1. It's been stable at Bills -2 since Tuesday morning, with ticket count running 2.5/1 and money 3/1-plus on Buffalo. Odds and picks are updated as of August 26th, as you can see. Las Vegas finished the season 10-8 SU/8-10 ATS. ET MONDAY, AUG. 29: After two straight Super Bowl trips and one championship, Kansas City went 14-6 SU/10-10 ATS last year, including postseason play. The Bucs are taking 62% of spread tickets and 70% of spread dollars. And at +1300, Knox is also tops in tickets and money on the prop of player to score the first TD. Much has been made about Green Bay losing Davante Adams, but it also lost its best pass-rusher, Za'Darius Smith. Atlanta has similar potential outcomes, but their offense is far superior. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at The late May news of DeAndre Hopkins' suspension and last month's arrest of fellow wideout Marquise Brown for speeding added to the anti-Cards sentiment. Both teams have tons of firepower on offense.". Miami should also be strong this year but the Pats will have the home crowd behind them while tackling is always sketchy at the start of the campaign so their running game has the potential to destroy the Dolphins. 2021 NFL Week 1 odds: 49ers open as biggest favorites, eight games have spread of three points or less Even if the Rams offense messes it up (they wont! This morning, the number dipped to 43.5, and it's now 44 (Under -115). The Dolphins remain -3.5 this morning, while taking 59% of spread bets and 62% of spread dollars. As for the Saints, they are working with a post-Drew Brees quarterback room that consists of Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill. Leagues. The Bengals will be the most overvalued team in the market next season. Here are the locks from our writers going into week 1 of the NFL season. That's after opening this contest a pick 'em back in June. Rodgers did report to training camp in late July and will play for Green Bay this fall, but it will be interesting to see how he and head coach Matt LaFleur co-exist this season with perceived friction in the air between the two. The Bucs not only made good on becoming the first team in NFL history to secure a Super Bowl title in its home stadium, but they followed it up by doing something almost as unprecedented in the salary cap era they retained each and every key component of that championship squad that had a chance to go elsewhere. These teams figure to be in the Wild Card race until the end. SportsLine's model projects that Wilson will barely clear 200 yards passing and throw an INT as Carolina covers in well over 50 percent of simulations. Here are the Week 1 lines for all 16 NFL games, as well as some insight from our experts on games they feel strongly about ( with all odds via FOX Bet ). On Aug. 7, the Bills reached -2.5, where they've been ever since. Still, that wasn't enough to save Brian Flores' job, and Mike McDaniel is the new coach. ", Opening line: Rams -1; Over/Under 52.5Time: 8:20 p.m. The Robert Saleh Era begins in the Big Apple, and the good news for the long-time 49ers coordinator is he essentially has nowhere to go but up after New York bottomed out with a 2-14 mark last season. Seattle will likely be the biggest need of the week for most sportsbooks, given the schedule spot and the line. The Broncos opened as 4-point faves at Seattle and touched -5 a few times over the summer. Meanwhile, Dallas went 12-5 SU and an NFL-best 13-4 ATS in the regular season. UPDATE 3 P.M. San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Odds: Can Trey Lance or Brock Purdy Lead the Niners to Super Bowl 58 Victory? Bengals fans can earmuff the rest; everyone else, listen closely. The Rams were 5-3 ATS during their first year at SoFi Stadium without fans but only sported an ATS +/- of 0.7 points, so it will be interesting to see how they perform under normal conditions beginning with this game. The Bucs are currently at -1.5, matching The SuperBook's opener in the NFL Week 1 odds market. Right out of the gate, we got a big game. Early ticket count is 4/1 and money about 5/1 on the Bills at BetMGM's mobile and retail operations in Nevada. Despite investing a second round pick in Drew Lock just two Aprils ago, Denver was known to be actively seeking out competition for the talented-but-inconsistent quarterback this offseason. As 2.5-point favorites, the Buccaneers lost to the Rams 30-27 on a final-seconds field goal. ET Sunday, Sept. 11 (NBC). Here we will look at how the spread for Week 1 changes in the days leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft hammer the Jaguars. UPDATE 1:30 P.M. His team won 11 of the 20 matchups with the Chicago team, with Stafford completing 63.6% of the passes for 5,440 yards and 32 TDs. Sign up to get daily betting columns and advice delivered directly to your inbox. The entire league is desperate for the spell to be broken in New England after a tough 7-9 season in 2020, but they also had so many issues to deal with. The latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook list all but one Sunday game with a spread. They have covered the spread in seven of the last eight meetings between these teams, and SportsLine's model has them covering almost 60% of the time in the latest simulations for Sunday's game. Can't miss first week offers For the moment, Hurts also has top tight end duo Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz back in the fold. All eyes will be on rookie quarterback Zach Wilson in this matchup as like Lawrence he will lead the teams offense from Day 1. So ideally, the book is rooting for a Tampa win and a Dallas cover, in that very narrow 2.5-point frame. I dont expect this to be a big decision for the book, but I do think its one of the most interesting games of Week 1. NOTES: Cade York's 58-yard field goal with 8 seconds left in his NFL debut lifted Cleveland over Carolina. The Chargers have an exceptional roster on paper, but continuity and momentum are already on Washingtons side. Trevor Lawrence balled out in his final tune-up before the regular season pic.twitter.com/6bVfakw3GM. Week 1 wraps up with the Denver Broncos and new quarterback Russell Wilson traveling to Seattle to take on Wilson's former team, the Seahawks, on Monday Night Football. The offense remains essentially the same, but the defense could be even better with key offseason additions Jadeveon Clowney, John Johnson and dynamic rookie linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah. UPDATE 10 P.M. 1 seed in the AFC last year. By submitting your data, you agree to our. Andy Dalton was initially brought in to serve as a stopgap quarterback, but precisely who hed been serving as a bridge to wasnt clear until Chicago nabbed Justin Fields in the first round of Aprils draft. Lamar Jackson and Co. will eat Las Vegas defense alive while Baltimores defense stymies the opposition. The Eagles do have plenty to be hopeful about at quarterback, as Jalen Hurts more than held his own after getting an opportunity to replace Carson Wentz. On Friday, L.A. inched up to -3.5. On Tuesday, the total dipped to 52, where it sits now, with 63% of bets on the Over, but 60% of money on the Under. ET WEDNESDAY: As with every other sportsbook, the opening Monday nighter has been a big mover on PointsBet USA's NFL Week 1 odds board. The total opened at 54, backed up to 53 in early July and returned to 54 briefly in late August, before dipping to 53.5. While there may be no such thing as a true lock when it comes to something as unpredictable as the NFL, there are usually a few games where you can be pretty confident about the outcome, or perhaps the spread just appears to be too high for a close matchup. But by Aug. 1, the line jumped the fence to Bills -1.5, and the Bills spent most of August at various iterations of -2.5. Pro Football Network, LLC. Winston will get the Week 1 start against the Packers. "Dallas also lost standout offensive tackle Tryon Smith in the preseason. That means priceless continuity for Tom Brady, who was clicking in Bruce Arians system by seasons end, and who much to the chagrin of the rest of the league should have a full command of the playbook right from the jump in 2021. Reid will look to get by with the lightning-fast but still-developing Mecole Hardman and other complementary pieces behind Tyreek Hill and Mahomes 1-A target, Travis Kelce. The money line betting odds correlate to the listed point spread. Bettors that relied on favorites to carry them to victory were disappointed, as a record number of underdogs covered the spread.. The Cowboys wont jump off the page based on their dismal 2020, but factor in a healthy Dak Prescott into the equation, a dynamic group of receivers and what should be a considerably improved defense, and youve got yourself the makings of a team that stands to make one of the biggest season-to-season improvements of any club. Tickets are pretty close, but money is like 4/1.". NFL Lines : Moneyline: Over/Under: NBA Lines : Moneyline: Over/Under: MLB Lines : Moneyline: Over/Under: NHL Lines: Moneyline . "This one is the best two-way game so far. Minnesota also both won and covered in last year's home game against the Packers. PointsBet opened the total at 51.5 and was fairly stable at 52 from mid-June through late August. The defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams and 2021 Offensive Player of the Year, wide receiver Cooper Kupp, opened the season by taking an L to quarterback Josh Allen and the Super Bowl favorites, the Buffalo Bills. Check back regularly for updates. These two once-proud NFC franchises clash in Atlanta to open the season, and each is looking to put together a resurgent season after combining for just eight wins a year ago. "The loss of Tyreek Hill wont deter bettors from backing Patrick Mahomes and expecting big offensive numbers every time the Chiefs take the field," Murray said. With a limited preseason, bettors have tough calls to make in the 15 games that remain this week, six of which have NFL Vegas spreads of a field goal or less. The return of versatile running back Christian McCaffrey, who missed much of 2020 with multiple injuries, also looms large. So it's [bettors taking] Bucs -2.5 and Cowboys on the moneyline," WynnBet vice president of trading Alan Berg said. This matchup opened at pick 'em back in May and made trips to Rams -1 and -1.5 early on. NFL Week 1 Point Spreads 2014 Opening and Closing NFL Point Spreads. The total opened at 52, dipped to 51 in early August and 50.5 in mid-August. "Sharp play on Over 41.5, but there's nothing really on the total at all," Shelton said. "It's all Raiders, 2/1 tickets and just over 3/1 money," Shelton said. (Getty) Opening line: Broncos -3.5; Over/Under 41 Time: 8:15 p.m. Five more tickets on the Cowboys, and both teams have a lot of tickets. By Tuesday, Tampa climbed back to -2.5 and has remained there since. "The sharp players figure to be on the 'dog here, but we know there will be a great deal of parlay accumulation to the Broncos. Top overall pick Trevor Lawrence is the starter for the Jags and he also gets an explosive veteran wideout in Marvin Jones, an offseason addition that will pair with 2020 breakout star DJ Chark and impressive second-year versatile weapon Laviska Shenault. WynnBet was at -4 and moved straight to -6. One of the top Week 1 NFL predictions the model recommends: TheVikings (-1.5) cover against the Packers in well over 50 percent of simulations. At WynnBet, The Chiefs are taking 71% of spread bets and 95% of spread money. Buccaneers, Steelers vs. Bills, Browns vs. Chiefs and Packers vs. Saints. August 12, 2021: Pre-Season Week 1: August 19, 2021: Pre-Season Week 2: August 26, 2021: Pre-Season Week 2: August 31, 2021: Roster Cuts: September 9, 2021: Regular Season Week 1: . That could lead to a mismatch in the trenches. With a full slate of NFL odds available for Week 1, here are a few more picks and predictions for a couple more games during opening week. ET WEDNESDAY: Back in mid-May, Tampa Bay opened as a 2-point road fave vs. Dallas at PointsBet USA. The Titans were back in the playoffs last season and Ryan Tannehill mostly proved his excellent 2019 run was no mirage. Point-spread ticket count is almost 2/1 and money 6/1 on Kansas City. The latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook list all but one Sunday game with a spread within one score. The Football Lines NFL Odds Results for the 2021 season are provided as an easy reference to view how each team has performed against the NFL money line odds progressively through out the season. Point spread: Lions (+5.5) cover by losing by fewer than 5.5 points (3)Moneyline: Eagles win as -250 favorites (bet $10 to win $14 total); Lions were +190 underdogs (bet $10 to win $29 total)Total scoring over/under: Over 48 points scored by both teams combined (73), Point spread: Ravens (-6.5) covers by winning by more than 6.5 points (15)Moneyline: Ravens win as -303 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.30 total); Jets ware +220 underdogs (bet $10 to win $32 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 44 points scored by both teams combined (33), Miami Dolphins 20, New England Patriots 7, Point spread: Dolphins (-3) cover by winning by more than 3 points (13)Moneyline: Dolphins win as -162 favorites (bet $10 to win $16.15 total); Patriotswere +125 underdogs (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 46.5 points scored by both teams combined (27), Point spread: Bears (+6.5) cover by winning outrightMoneyline: Bears were +220 underdogs (bet $10 to win $32 total); 49ers were -303 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.30 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 37 points scored by both teams combined (29), Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Washington Commanders 22, Point spread: Commanders (-3) cover by winning by more than 3 points (6)Moneyline: Commanders win as -162 favorites (bet $10 to win $16.17 total); Jaguars were +125 underdogs (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)Total scoring over/under: Over 43.5 points scored by both teams combined (50), Indianapolis Colts 20, Houston Texans 20 (OT), Point spread: Texans (+7) cover by playing to a tieMoneyline: Colts were -400 favorites (bet $10 to win $12.50 total); Texans were +280 underdogs (bet $10 to win $38 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 46 points scored by both teams combined (40), Point spread: Bills (-2) cover by winning by more than 2 points (21)Moneyline: Bills win as -138 favorites (bet $10 to win $17.25 total); Rams were +115 underdogs (bet $10 to win $21.50 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 52 points scored by both teams combined (41). 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